What We're Watching in November

November has arrived. The leaves may be falling, but equity markets remain supported by strong underlying forces. While investors continue to understand the Fed’s ongoing rate policy, we're keeping our focus on what matters, including capital flows, consumer strength, and the risks quietly forming below the surface.  

Imagine your good fortune when checking portfolio balances and you notice that the value of a single stock holding in your portfolio has increased in value by more than an entire year of income! ‘Impossible!’ you say? Not so! At Carnegie, we have witnessed this happy situation more than once over the years.

The final months of the year give you an opportunity to take stock of your finances. It’s important to align your investment portfolio and tax strategy before the calendar turns. When you prepare thoughtfully now, you could reduce taxes, avoid penalties, and position your wealth more effectively for the future. 

What We're Watching in October

As we move into the final quarter of 2025, the market dynamics remain ripe for analysis filled with both contradiction and opportunity. With recent data revisions, interest rate forecasts, and inflation drivers offering important signals, not just about the economy, but about how to read the headlines. At Carnegie Investment Counsel, we believe staying grounded in facts and context is the key to staying ahead. 

Warren Buffett, the Chairman and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, is widely known for his tried-and-true investment philosophy. His approach is grounded in simplicity, discipline, and a focus on businesses with durable competitive advantages. 

If you've spent a lifetime working hard, building wealth, and providing for your family, it can be difficult to think about entrusting it to someone else. But from my personal experience as well as guiding clients through it, it’s better to have a plan and let it evolve as seamlessly as possible so that it doesn’t become a burden to your precious loved ones down the road. 

The idea of the U.S. government taking direct ownership stakes in private companies felt largely anathema to the nation's capitalist ideals. Yet, the current administration is increasingly embracing a more active role in the private sector. This isn't about regulation or tax incentives; it's about direct investment and influence, echoing—but diverging from—past interventions. 

What We're Watching in September

It may be back-to-school season, but markets never took a summer break. Equities are hovering near all-time highs, inflation progress is uneven but improving, and earnings have topped cautious expectations. The backdrop: a potentially pivotal policy moment after the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium, where a September rate cut is now squarely on the table. A well-telegraphed, data-dependent cut would ease financing costs for households (mortgages, autos) and corporates (refinancing, capex, M&A); helpful tailwinds as consumers grapple with housing affordability and companies navigate tariffs and supply chains. 

With the recent tax bill raising the cap on state and local tax (SALT) deductions from $10,000 to $40,000, a new planning opportunity has opened for high-net-worth individuals and couples. For nearly a decade, many households found themselves unable to benefit meaningfully from itemized deductions. The high standard deduction meant charitable gifts often provided no additional tax benefit. But now, deduction stacking has entered the conversation as a way to maximize both your generosity and your tax efficiency.

The rising cost of higher education presents a challenge for many families. The good news: with thoughtful planning and the smart use of available tools, these costs can become much more manageable. For parents and grandparents who want to support education goals, understanding the different savings vehicles and tax benefits is key.