“Uncertainty” is the new buzzword. The term has been used repeatedly during earnings calls throughout the past month as company executives described the current state of the operating environment. This uncertainty is driven by the Trump Administration’s fluctuating tariff policy.
Topics: Market
What We’re Watching in May
As the first quarter of 2025 experienced relative calm in the financial markets, April surprised investors with sharp pullbacks, increased volatility, and rising investor worries. While market swings are nothing new, the reemergence of tariffs, one of the Trump administration’s policy tools, has added uncertainty in the minds of investors and business leaders. For many, this month felt less like a typical bump in the road and more like a sudden derailment.
At Carnegie, we see this moment as a valuable reminder that staying grounded in the face of short-term noise is critical to long-term investing success.
Topics: Market
Volatility vs Long-Term Trends
Volatility in the market has spiked during the last month, coinciding with the Trump Administration’s tariff rollout. The rollout has been accompanied by shifting levels in the tariff, uncertainty when and where they will be implemented, and an escalating trade war with China. Equities have reacted negatively leading to headlines indicating how far the indexes have fallen off the peak.
The resulting chart can be a little unsettling.
Topics: Investing
Managing Risks for Retirement Spending
Retirement is about more than just building up savings—it’s also about figuring out how to spend those savings in a way that lasts. One common approach is to use a fixed or “safe” withdrawal strategy, like the “4% rule,” where you spend a set percentage of your portfolio each year. But life doesn’t move in a straight line, and neither does the market. That’s why it’s important to regularly revisit your financial plan to determine whether adjustments to your spending might be needed.
Topics: Financial Planning
Monthly Market Commentary: April 2025
What We're Watching in April 2025
Tariffs: A Familiar Headwind with New Implications
Tariffs are once again making headlines — and history offers important perspectives. In 2018, during the first Trump administration, when tariffs were first introduced on a wide scale, markets reacted with caution but quickly digested the implementation once the total amount was clearly defined. Today, a similar narrative is unfolding, though this time the effects are more pronounced — not because tariffs have been enacted, but because of the uncertainty on the final outcome this past month.
Topics: Market
The current on-again/off-again conversation about tariffs on imported goods is not new. In fact, before the general income tax was passed in 1913, tariffs were one of the few ways our government had to raise money, often comprising up to 95% of federal revenue. To some extent, tariffs in the developing American economy were part of the rivalry between the agricultural-based economy of the South and the developing industrial-based economy of the North. Some historians have pointed to the Tariff of 1828 (called The Tariff of Abominations), meant to aid small Northern industry, as the starting point for talk of Southern secession, eventually leading up to the Civil War.
Topics: Market
Tax Season Prep: Planning Before the Deadline
As the April 15th tax filing deadline approaches, March is the ideal time to revisit your tax strategy, especially for families with trusts or more complex financial situations. By proactively addressing key tax areas, you can potentially reduce your tax liability and better position yourself for future financial success. Here are five essential tax strategies to consider this season:
Topics: Financial Planning
Monthly Market Commentary: March 2025
One of the most anticipated aspects of President Trump’s proposed tax policies is curtailing taxes on Social Security earnings, tips, and overtime pay. The proposed budget makes no mention of these structural taxation changes for these income streams, and it remains to be seen if it is addressed in the upcoming negotiations related to the extension of the Tax Cuts & Jobs Act provisions. President Trump’s tax plan proposes favoring specific forms of income. Initial projections from the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy (ITEP) group show the upper two brackets of earners will benefit, as these households are more likely to take full advantage of the carve-outs. Meanwhile, lower- and moderate-income households may see little benefit due to existing exemptions and the progressive tax structure. While details remain subject to legislative negotiations, these potential changes will be closely watched to assess their long-term implications. Source: https://itep.org/a-distributional-analysis-of-donald-trumps-tax-plan-2024/ |
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Topics: Market
The Heckerling Estate Planning Institute, sponsored by the University of Miami (Coral Gables) School of Law, was held in Orlando, FL, the week of January 12th. This was the 59th consecutive year of the conference, bringing together more than 4,100 attendees, consisting of wealth managers, probate attorneys, accountants, life insurance professionals, trust officers, charitable planned giving officers, financial planners and IRS Estate and Gift Tax Agents. Heckerling is the largest such gathering and has long been regarded as the Platinum Standard for practitioners representing clients throughout the U.S. and abroad. Each session is conducted by a distinguished probate practitioner or law school scholar. Discussed below are some of the current pressing topics of interest to clients served by Carnegie Investment Counsel.
Topics: Financial Planning
Federal Solar Tax Credit for Savvy Investors: Save With the Sun
As the world increasingly embraces sustainable energy solutions, the popularity of solar panels has soared for both residential and commercial energy generation. Beyond the environmental benefits, solar energy offers a plethora of tax incentives , like the federal solar tax credit, that can significantly bolster the financial position of savvy individuals.
Topics: Taxes