On February 22nd, Citrini Research posted a report titled “The 2028 Global Intelligence Crisis” by Citrini and Alap Shah. The self-described thought exercise theorized a scenario in which Artificial Intelligence (“AI”) destroys more jobs than it creates. The results are economically catastrophic.
Benjamin D. Connard
Recent Posts
Topics: Technology
Fixed income can play a critical role in a well-constructed investment portfolio. While equities are typically the primary driver of long-term returns, fixed income serves a different purpose: risk management.
Our philosophy is straightforward. Fixed income should act as a true hedge against equity market volatility while also providing a predictable level of income. It is not intended to be the engine of growth in a portfolio. That responsibility belongs to equities. This distinction matters because fixed income investments have an inherently asymmetrical payoff profile.
Topics: Investment Management
Why Cash Is Not a Long-Term Investment Strategy
For much of the past two years, holding cash felt like a rational long-term strategy. Money market funds offered yields of around 5%, and investors were paid to hold cash. Some investors found it particularly attractive after enduring years of near zero short-term rates. That environment has now changed, and the shift is structural rather than temporary.
Topics: Investing
The Risks Facing OpenAI and its $1.4T in Spending Commitments
OpenAI, the company behind ChatGPT, expects to end 2025 with an annualized run rate of revenue over $20 billion; its fourth quarter revenue will be about $5B. OpenAI’s CEO Sam Altman predicts revenue will grow to hundreds of billions by 2030. 2030 is also when the company is guiding positive free cash flow. Essentially, the company will have cash after paying all operating and maintenance costs. The common definition of free cash flow is Cash from Operations (CFO) minus Capital Expenditures.
Topics: Investing
Data Centers Are Driving Up Utility Bills, but Is That Fair?
Electricity prices are climbing as tech giants like Amazon, Google, and Microsoft build massive data centers to train and run their Artificial Intelligence (AI) models. These facilities are the digital backbone of today’s AI revolution, but they’re also consuming staggering amounts of power.
Topics: Investing
Warren Buffett and the Evolution of Berkshire Hathaway’s Apple Investment
Warren Buffett, the Chairman and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, is widely known for his tried-and-true investment philosophy. His approach is grounded in simplicity, discipline, and a focus on businesses with durable competitive advantages.
Topics: Investing
The U.S. Government's Growing Role in the Private Sector
The idea of the U.S. government taking direct ownership stakes in private companies felt largely anathema to the nation's capitalist ideals. Yet, the current administration is increasingly embracing a more active role in the private sector. This isn't about regulation or tax incentives; it's about direct investment and influence, echoing—but diverging from—past interventions.
Topics: Economy
Stablecoin: What It Is, Why It Matters, and Where It's Headed
Stablecoins have been around for a little while now, but they’re back in the spotlight thanks to some new legislation—the GENIUS Act. With all the buzz, it’s worth unpacking what stablecoins are, why they’re gaining traction globally, and whether they really matter for the average U.S. consumer.
Let’s start from the top.
Topics: Investing
Stock Fundamentals: Return on Invested Capital
In general, earnings growth drives stock prices higher. If investors are willing to pay 20 times earnings for a company, and company earnings grow from $5 per share to $6 per share, the stock price will increase from $100 to $120.
Topics: Investing
“Uncertainty” is the new buzzword. The term has been used repeatedly during earnings calls throughout the past month as company executives described the current state of the operating environment. This uncertainty is driven by the Trump Administration’s fluctuating tariff policy.
Topics: Market

